Having last month reviewed our 2011 report Beyond ABS: The Future for Independent Law Firms, we now turn to a recent report by Alan Hodgart of Hodgart Associates, considering the Key Challenges Facing the UK Legal Market in the coming years. The analysis is, as ever, insightful and recognises a number of key trends that we have ourselves identified and considered to be pertinent to UK law firms for some time.
Market Segmentation
Four key market segments are identified, all of which are likely to be subject to pressures for change – albeit differing in scale and nature.
The Global Elite – the Magic Circle and a number of high-profile American firms.
Business Law firms – which are further segmented into International Business Law firms (operating globally and just below the elite level); London Business Law firms (with similar clients and work types to their international counterparts, but with a London focus); National Business Law firms (usually broad corporate/commercial firms headquartered outside London and with nationwide coverage); and Regional Business Law firms (competing as leaders within a specific region, often forced by market realities to adopt a focus on a particular type of work).
Retail Law firms – mainly focusing on private clients and small businesses, either on the High Street or in areas such as Personal Injury.
Specialist Focus Law firms – niche and boutique firms, specialising in a very narrow part of the market.
There is, of course, a further segment – the generalist or ‘full service’ firms that lack a focus on a particular section of the market. These are identified, however, as having an economic structure that makes them “too expensive to win lower value work, and they often lack the capability and reputation to win higher value work.”
Squeezed in the Middle
This description of the market mirrors our own analysis, that the forces shaping the profession would squeeze the general, mid-market firm both from above (the high-value business law firms) and from below (retail firms), forcing those firms trapped in the middle to follow one of two paths – increasing specialisation, or consolidation at regional or national level.
Hodgart indeed goes on to describe this trend, pointing out that “the number of practices with five partners or fewer fell by 2% in 2012, whereas there was a 5.3 per cent increase in the number of firms with five to ten partners, further increases in those with 11 to 80 partners and a 16 per cent increase in the number of firms with 81 or more partners.”
The data suggests that a significant number of smaller firms are disappearing, with their partners joining more specialist SME practices or larger regional/national rivals.
The conclusion to which we return is that increasing specialisation in the mid-market is likely to breed greater profitability, as firms jettison clients, partners and entire practices that are unprofitable and take up management time and resource. Achieving this will involve some very difficult decisions within the partnership, but could be essential for future success and longevity.